아프리카ㆍ중동

Iran’s January 5, 2020 announcement that it no longer considers itself bound by the restrictions on its nuclear program contained in the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA, aka the “nuclear deal”) raises the specter of the Islamic Republic racing to put in place the infrastructure needed to produce nuclear weapons quickly and the United States or Israel conducting military strikes to stop it. But while Tehran’s announcement makes such a worrisome scenario possible—and further hollows out the JCPOA and hastens its eventual demise—a nuclear crisis along these lines is highly unlikely, at least for now.