러시아ㆍ유라시아

Georgia’s performance under the Extended Arrangement has been good, but the country is now facing a pronounced economic slowdown and an urgent balance of payments need due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Real GDP is expected to decline by 4 percent in 2020, but projections are subject to more than the usual uncertainty. Lower exports, no tourism, and weaker remittances are expected to widen the current account deficit to 11? percent of GDP in 2020. Rising global risk aversion is likely to reduce private financial inflows and delay investment. The authorities have sought to contain the COVID-19 pandemic and cushion its economic impact but face a balance of payments gap of $1.8 billion for 2020-21 (11.4 percent of GDP).