러시아ㆍ유라시아
연구정보
[국제관계] Putin’s likely course of action in Ukraine – Part 3
우크라이나 국외연구자료 연구보고서 AEI 발간일 : 2022-01-27 등록일 : 2022-02-09 원문링크
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Russian President Vladimir Putin is using the crisis he created by mobilizing a large military force around Ukraine to achieve two major objectives: first, advancing and possibly completing his efforts to regain effective control of Ukraine itself, and second, fragmenting and neutralizing the NATO alliance. Russian military preparations can support a massive invasion of Ukraine from the north, east, and south that could give Putin physical control of Kyiv and other major Ukrainian cities, allowing him to dictate terms that would accomplish the first objective. Such an invasion, however, might undermine his efforts to achieve the second objective because it could rally the NATO alliance around the need to respond to such a dramatic act of aggression. An invasion would also entail significant risks and definite high costs. A Russian military action centered around limited military operations in southern and southeastern Ukraine coupled with a brief but widespread and intense air and missile campaign could better position Putin to achieve both aims as well as reduce the likely costs and risks to Russia.
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| 이전글 | [경제] The economic development of regions in Ukraine: with tests on the territori... | 2022-02-09 |
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| 다음글 | [국제관계] Putin’s likely course of action in Ukraine – Part 2 | 2022-02-09 |
