러시아ㆍ유라시아
연구정보
[국제관계] Putin’s likely course of action in Ukraine – Part 1
러시아 국외연구자료 연구보고서 - AEI 발간일 : 2021-12-10 등록일 : 2022-02-09 원문링크
Russian President Vladimir Putin is amassing a military force on and near Ukraine’s borders large enough to conduct a full-scale invasion. Western intelligence agencies have reportedly intercepted Russian military plans to do so by early February. Visible Russian military activities and these plans so clearly support preparations for an invasion that it seems obvious that Putin really might invade if his demands are not met.
Putin is rarely so obvious, however, and a massive Russian invasion of Ukraine would mark a fundamental transformation of the approach he has taken for two decades to advance his interests and respond to threats. We cannot dismiss the possibility that such a transformation has occurred. The United States, NATO, and Ukraine must seriously consider the risk of a Russian invasion of Ukraine and prepare military, diplomatic, and economic measures to deter and respond to that threat.
본 페이지에 등재된 자료는 운영기관(KIEP) 및 EMERiCs의 공식적인 입장을 대변하고 있지 않습니다.
| 이전글 | [국제관계] Putin’s likely course of action in Ukraine – Part 2 | 2022-02-09 |
|---|---|---|
| 다음글 | [경제] Transition Report 2021-22 : Ukraine | 2022-03-18 |
