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[정책] 2021/22 KSP Policy Consultation Report Mongolia : Feasibility Study of Altanbulag Transport and Logistics Center

몽골 국내연구자료 연구보고서 - 대한무역투자진흥공사 발간일 : 2023-03-09 등록일 : 2023-03-17 원문링크

목차
Chapter 1. Overview of Feasibility Study
1. Background and Purpose
A. Background
B. Purpose and Expected Effect
2. Project Contents
A. Policy Recommendations for the Establishment of Altanbulag Transport and Logistics Center
B. Feasibility Study on the Construction of the Altanbulag Transport and Logistics Center
3. Main Contents of the Feasibility Study
A. Process
B. Main Contents

Chapter 2. Analysis of Basic Data and Major Issues
1. Analysis of Socioeconomic Environment
A. Overview
B. Economic Conditions and Logistics Industries
C. Transportation Network Status
2. Status of Altanbulag
A. Geographical Status
B. The Altanbulag Border Customs Clearance Facility
C. Altanbulag Free Zone
D. Overall Status of Altanbulag
3. Development Plan
A. Economic–Industrial Development Plan
B. Transportation Infrastructure Development Plan
4. Review of Primary Research Issues
A. Issues Related to Scale Adequacy
B. Issues Related to Cost Estimation

Chapter 3. Demand Estimation
1. Volume Prediction and Area Calculation
A. Classification of Freight Items
B. Prediction Model
C. Methodology for Calculating Logistics Facilities Areas
2. Prediction of Import and Export Volume at Altanbulag Selenge Customs
A. Import and Export Status of Altanbulag Selenge Customs
B. Forecasting Results for Import and Export Volume at Altanbulag Selenge Customs
3. Estimating the Required Areas of Logistics Facilities
A. Basic Data Analysis
B. Calculation Results for Required Areas of Logistics Facilities

Chapter 4. Technical Reviews and Cost Estimates
1. Technical Reviews
A. Site Analysis
B. Land Use Plan
C. Size Estimation of the Transportation and Logistics Center
D. Estimate of Infrastructure Use
2. Estimation of Total Project Costs
A. Outline of Total Project Cost Estimation
B. Estimation of Total Project Costs by Detailed Items
C. Incidental Expenses for Infrastructure
D. Contingencies for Infrastructure Construction
E. Construction Costs for the Upper Building
F. Incidental Expenses for the Construction of the Upper Building Portion
G. Contingencies (Infrastructure Construction)
H. Total Costs
3. Estimation of Operating Expenses and Annual Investment Plans
A. Estimation of Operating Expenses
B. Annual Process Review for Project
C. Annual Investment Plans

Chapter 5. Economic Analysis
1. Concepts and Methods of Economic Feasibility Analysis
A. Definition of Economic Feasibility Analysis
B. Methods of Economic Feasibility Analysis
C. Selection of a Feasibility Analysis Method
2. Overview and Estimation of Economic Feasibility Analysis
A. Overview of Analysis
B. Estimation of Benefits and Costs
C. Calculation of Benefits
D. Benefit Calculation Results
3. Economic Analysis Results
4. Sensitivity Analysis
A. Changes in Social Discount Rates
B. Changes in Benefits
C. Changes in Costs

Chapter 6. Policy Analysis
1. National Development Plan and Industrial Development Policy
A. Industrial Policy
B. National Development Plan
C. National Smart Transport System Development Program
D. Implications
2. Input–Output Analysis
A. Overview
B. Induction Factor for Input–Output Analysis
C. Analysis Results
3. Environmental and Social Impact Analysis
A. Overview
B. Environmental Impact
C. Environmental Impact Assessment Methodology
D. Conclusion

Chapter 7. Financing Plans for Project Execution
1. Securing Finances for WB Project Promotion
A. World Bank (WB) Financial Composition
B. World Bank (WB) Loan Project Implementation Procedure
2. Securing Finances for ADB Project Promotion
A. Financial structure
B. Type of loan
C. Project execution procedure
D. Consulting Services Loan Project
3. Securing Finances for EDCR Project Promotion
A. EDCF project and application conditions
B. Considerations when discovering support target projects
C. How to apply and how to apply
D. Review procedure and major considerations
E. MDB cooperative loan and support between government departments and institutions
4. Securing Financial Resources by Utilizing Private Financial Resources
A. Global Infrastructure Market Status
B. How to use private investment funds
C. Government-supported plan for revitalization of PPP business

Chapter 8. Comprehensive Evaluation and Policy Proposal
1. Assessment of Project Feasibility
A. Overview of Mongolia
B. Status of Altanbulag and Summary of Comprehensive Review
C. Demand Analysis Results
D. Land Use Plan
E. Planning and Calculation of the Required Facility Size
F. Calculation of Infrastructure Construction Costs
G. Calculation of the Unit Price
H. Expected Construction Cost Estimation
I. Economic Ripple Effect Analysis
J. Economic Analysis Results
K. Comprehensive Suggestions
L. Limitations of Research
2. Introduction and Comparison of Cases of Feasibility Evaluation of Korea Logistics Complex
A. Case A. Incheon Port Aam Logistics Complex 2
B. Case B. Anseong Gongdo Logistics Complex
C. Altanbulag Transport and Logistics Center Comparison
D. Comparison Implications
3. Financing Measures
4. Policy Recommendations
A. Balance of Import and Export Volume
B. Implementation of Government-Led Logistics Industry Policy Projects
C. Strengthening the Internal Stability of Government Agencies

References

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